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Description
人生的局，機率有解：「統計學界的諾貝爾獎」得主，教你用機率思維掌控不確定性，破解人生賽局的高勝算法則: : 16 38 15 1% Jeffrey S. Rosenthal 1991Harvard University Teaching Award1998Arts and Science Outstanding Teaching Award 2005IMS Fellow2006CRMSSC2007COPSS20122013Statistical Society of Canada Gold Medal
作者: 傑佛瑞．羅森薩爾 ｜ 譯者: 吳書榆
人生，是一場充滿不確定性的限時決策遊戲，
掌握機率的力量，你將不再被運氣左右，
而是成為遊戲的主宰！
16堂機率思考課 × 38則生活化情境 × 15道機率觀點練習題
這本書，將帶你用機率思考破解人生盲點！
國際統計學界最高榮譽獎得主──傑佛瑞．羅森薩爾代表作！
★拋開枯燥公式，從生活實例輕鬆掌握機率與隨機性
★從投資到戀愛，從民調到買保險，全面剖析高勝算決策思維
★以幽默敘事搭配生動案例，帶你破解隨機性的迷思
你，真的懂機率嗎？
●同事聚餐，誰買單才公平？
●治安真的越來越差嗎？我們遇到謀殺案的機率有多高？
●就算永遠拿不到理賠，還是要投保嗎？
●「混沌理論」告訴你，為什麼愛情總是難以捉摸？
●玩剪刀、石頭、布，竟然有穩贏法則？
●最常見的統計錯誤，你中招了嗎？
生活中充滿各種機率事件，本書廣泛探討日常議題，從評估風險、投資、保險規劃、賭場遊戲、親子談判、醫病關係等，以生動好讀的筆觸，揭開運氣、隨機性及機率的神祕面紗，並發現它們與生活無所不在的連結及精彩應用。
人生是一場機率賽局，
每天提升1%勝率，人生就能持續升級！
當別人還在憑直覺做選擇，你已經用機率找到最佳解。
作者
傑佛瑞．羅森薩爾（Jeffrey S. Rosenthal）
哈佛大學數學博士，多倫多大學統計系教授。他很小就對機率理論感興趣，小時候，他很喜歡擲硬幣、丟骰子並計算機率。
他的研究與教學屢獲殊榮，更受到學生愛戴，贏得兩項教學獎：1991年的哈佛大學教學獎（Harvard University Teaching Award），以及1998年多倫多大學藝術科學傑出教學獎（Arts and Science Outstanding Teaching Award）。
羅森薩爾教授於2005年榮獲「國際數理統計學會會士」（IMS Fellow），並於2006年獲得數學研究中心與加拿大統計學會（CRM－SSC）大獎，更於2007年榮獲COPSS獎，該獎項被譽為統計學界的諾貝爾獎，為國際統計學界最高榮譽。2012年獲頒加拿大皇家學會院士，為加拿大最高學術榮譽。2013年，獲頒加拿大統計學會金獎（Statistical Society of Canada Gold Medal）。
譯者
吳書榆
國立臺灣大學經濟學學士、英國倫敦大學經濟學碩士。曾任職於公家機關、軟體業，擔任研究、企劃與行銷相關工作，目前為自由文字工作者。
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4.0 ★★★★★
Based on 28 reviews
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Product Reviews
★★★★★ 1
Extremely Overpriced
Number of Items: 4
It doesn’t hold charge too long , especially if it’s not on a perfectly bright sunny day without clouds. Even at that , It will only be able to light up for maybe two or three hours at best , and not very bright at all. Construction and materials are of good quality that’s why the one start or else zi would gave given a zero if i could. it is way overpriced for what it is. I am disappointed for what I paid and the amount of production I get from it. Would have returned it if I haven’t installed them and threw away the boxes.
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Reviewed in the United States on December 9, 2025
★★★★★ 5
Quality enclosure and battery. Looks great.
Number of Items: 4
Quality metal enclosure. Look great. Two color levels. Charge even in indirect sunlight just fine. I have now bought 12 of these lights.
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Reviewed in the United States on November 1, 2025
★★★★★ 5
Very durable and designed to last a long time
Number of Items: 2
I've had a pair of these lights for 7-8 years and would still be using them with no issues if a naughty racoon hadn't taken an interest in them and broken the glass on one of them. I was delighted to find that the identical looking ones (operate slightly differently) were still available.
They are extremely simple to put together (just screw together the durable metal pieces) and turn them on to the chosen brightness. It couldn't be much simpler.
I also have other Gama Sonic solar lights and they are every bit as good.
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Reviewed in the United States on May 4, 2024
★★★★★ 3
Gama lights
Number of Items: 4
3 out of 4 are great. One did not work right away. Company send 2 extra battery packs. But still one bad unit. Talking now about options. Company seems to have good customer service. But bad light definetly an issue. 1 of 4 bad.
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Reviewed in the United States on June 9, 2026
★★★★★ 5
Gama Sonic Solar Lights: Built to Last and Guaranteed
Number of Items: 2
These lights are nice and bright and stay on all night. I have other Gama Sonic solar lights also. One of them, which I didn't buy from Amazon, had a problem so I contacted Gama Sonic directly because they have a 2-year warranty. They responded immediately and I got it fixed and now I'm happy with it. I will keep buying their solar lights because they make good quality solar lights and have a 2-year warranty.
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Reviewed in the United States on May 3, 2026